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Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old woman in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
2.3%
1 in 43
Next 10 years
37%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease12%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's9.9%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  3. 03Stroke7.1%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  4. 04Other cancers5.0%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.7%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  6. 06Other causes4.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu4.3%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  8. 08Other digestive disease4.1%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
Show the other 37 causes48% together
  1. 09COPD & chronic lung disease4.1%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  2. 10Breast cancer3.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  4. 12Lung cancer3.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 13Other lung disease2.8%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  6. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.7%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  7. 15Kidney disease2.5%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 16Colorectal cancer2.5%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  10. 18Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.1%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19Falls2.1%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 20Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 21COVID-192.0%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  14. 22Uterine & ovarian cancer2.0%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Parkinson's disease1.8%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 24Other accidents1.8%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  17. 25Diabetes1.3%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.80%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  19. 27Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.51%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.47%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  21. 29Oesophageal cancer0.46%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  22. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.41%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  23. 31Bladder cancer0.40%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.39%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  26. 34Brain cancer0.36%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.32%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  28. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.29%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  29. 37Suicide0.21%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  30. 38Cervical cancer0.18%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  31. 39Road accidents0.10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.09%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  33. 41Alcohol use disorder0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.04%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  35. 43Drowning0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  36. 44Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  37. 45Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Belgium

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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