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Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old man in Switzerland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
3.0%
1 in 33
Next 10 years
44%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    5.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's7.7%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease7.4%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.9%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  5. 05Prostate cancer5.4%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06Stroke4.8%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  7. 07Lung cancer4.6%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 08Other cancers4.3%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 35 causes48% together
  1. 09COPD & chronic lung disease3.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 10Other digestive disease3.3%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 11Other causes3.2%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  4. 12Falls3.0%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 14COVID-192.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 16Parkinson's disease2.4%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 17Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  10. 18Pancreatic cancer2.2%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  11. 19Diabetes2.2%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  12. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)2.2%
    0.97% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 21Other lung disease2.1%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  14. 22Bladder cancer1.7%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  15. 23Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.6%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 24Liver cancer1.4%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  17. 25Kidney disease1.4%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  18. 26Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.94%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.61%
  19. 27Stomach cancer0.92%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  20. 28Suicide0.82%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  21. 29Other accidents0.71%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  22. 30Oesophageal cancer0.69%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  23. 31Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.63%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.62%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  25. 33Brain cancer0.59%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  26. 34Kidney cancer0.51%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  27. 35Other mental health conditions0.51%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  28. 36Alcohol use disorder0.29%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  29. 37Road accidents0.22%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.18%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  31. 39Drowning0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Die Dargebotene Hand on 143 (a small charge per call) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Switzerland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Switzerland (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 75–79 in Switzerland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Switzerland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Swiss federal insurance rules (KLV), cantonal programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.