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What is a 77-year-old woman in Croatia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
3.2%
1 in 31
Next 10 years
50%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
87
about 10 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease17%
    8.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    6.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Diabetes10%
    5.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease8.2%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  5. 05Stroke7.9%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  6. 06Dementia & Alzheimer's5.6%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  7. 07Kidney disease2.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 35 causes33% together
  1. 09Other cancers2.9%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer2.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  3. 11Falls2.7%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 12COPD & chronic lung disease2.6%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  5. 13Other causes2.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  6. 14Lung cancer2.3%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  7. 15Breast cancer1.9%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 16COVID-191.6%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  9. 17Leukaemia & lymphoma1.6%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 18Pancreatic cancer1.4%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  11. 19Uterine & ovarian cancer1.3%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  13. 21Parkinson's disease1.1%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  14. 22Other mental health conditions0.97%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Stomach cancer0.88%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  16. 24Liver cancer0.63%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  17. 25Bladder cancer0.60%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  18. 26Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.45%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  19. 27Kidney cancer0.44%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  20. 28Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.41%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  21. 29Other accidents0.40%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  22. 30Brain cancer0.35%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  23. 31Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.34%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.33%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  25. 33Suicide0.28%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.21%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  27. 35Cervical cancer0.21%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  28. 36Other lung disease0.17%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.13%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  31. 39Road accidents0.09%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  32. 40Alcohol use disorder0.05%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 41Drowning0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Croatia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Croatia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Croatia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Croatia

Based on Croatian national (HZJZ) screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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