Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old woman in Latvia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
3.5%
1 in 29
Next 10 years
49%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease26%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 29%
  2. 02Stroke24%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease9.7%
    4.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease4.4%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's3.0%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Diabetes2.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 07Other cancers2.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 08Other digestive disease2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
Show the other 36 causes24% together
  1. 09Colorectal cancer2.4%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 10Breast cancer2.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 11Other causes1.9%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 12Uterine & ovarian cancer1.5%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  5. 13Pneumonia & flu1.5%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 14Pancreatic cancer1.4%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  7. 15Kidney disease1.4%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.3%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  9. 17Lung cancer1.3%
    0.63% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  10. 18Stomach cancer0.98%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  11. 19Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.86%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.83%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  13. 21Parkinson's disease0.67%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 22Kidney cancer0.61%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  15. 23Other accidents0.57%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  16. 24COPD & chronic lung disease0.48%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  17. 25Liver cancer0.48%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  18. 26COVID-190.47%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  19. 27Falls0.47%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  20. 28Brain cancer0.41%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  21. 29Cervical cancer0.38%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  22. 30Bladder cancer0.33%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  23. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.23%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  24. 32Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.22%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.19%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.18%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Other lung disease0.15%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  28. 36Suicide0.15%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.10%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 38Road accidents0.09%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 39Other mental health conditions0.07%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.07%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  33. 41Drowning0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  36. 44Homicide0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in Latvia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in Latvia

Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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