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Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old woman in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
2.6%
1 in 38
Next 10 years
41%
about 4 in 10
Life expectancy
89
about 12 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's15%
    6.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease9.9%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Stroke7.3%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  4. 04Other cancers5.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  5. 05Falls5.0%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.4%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 08Lung cancer4.3%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
Show the other 36 causes44% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  2. 10Other causes3.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  3. 11Other digestive disease3.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  4. 12Breast cancer3.0%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.9%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  6. 14Pneumonia & flu2.9%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.6%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.3%
    0.95% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 17Pancreatic cancer2.1%
    0.87% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  10. 18Uterine & ovarian cancer2.0%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 19COVID-191.9%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  12. 20Diabetes1.8%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  13. 21Parkinson's disease1.6%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  14. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.6%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Kidney disease1.4%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  16. 24Other accidents1.3%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  17. 25Other lung disease1.2%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26Oesophageal cancer0.68%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.61%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  20. 28Bladder cancer0.56%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.51%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  22. 30Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  23. 31Kidney cancer0.40%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.39%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.35%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  26. 34Brain cancer0.30%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  27. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.27%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  28. 36Road accidents0.23%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  29. 37Cervical cancer0.15%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 38Suicide0.14%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  31. 39Alcohol use disorder0.08%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Congenital conditions0.05%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Drowning0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old woman in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 75–79 in the Netherlands

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old woman in the Netherlands

Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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