Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old man in Norway most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
3.3%
1 in 30
Next 10 years
47%
about 5 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 11 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's9.1%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease8.6%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
  3. 03COPD & chronic lung disease7.1%
    3.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease6.9%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  5. 05Prostate cancer5.0%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  6. 06Lung cancer5.0%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 07Stroke5.0%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.1%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
Show the other 35 causes49% together
  1. 09COVID-193.9%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  2. 10Other cancers3.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  3. 11Colorectal cancer3.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  4. 12Pneumonia & flu3.4%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma3.1%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 14Other causes2.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  7. 15Other digestive disease2.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 16Falls2.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  9. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  10. 18Parkinson's disease2.2%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  11. 19Diabetes2.2%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  12. 20Pancreatic cancer2.0%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  13. 21Other lung disease2.0%
    0.94% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  14. 22Kidney disease2.0%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  15. 23Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.9%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  16. 24Other accidents1.1%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  17. 25Bladder cancer1.1%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  18. 26Stomach cancer0.96%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.83%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  20. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.78%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  21. 29Oesophageal cancer0.56%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.53%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  23. 31Brain cancer0.52%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  24. 32Suicide0.50%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.45%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.29%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  27. 35Alcohol use disorder0.29%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  28. 36Road accidents0.24%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.23%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  30. 38Drowning0.12%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 39Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.08%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 41Congenital conditions0.04%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 42Homicide0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Mental Helse on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Norway, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Norway (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 75–79 in Norway

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Norway

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Norwegian national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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