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Free risk check · real data

What is a 77-year-old man in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
77
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
6.1%
1 in 16
Next 10 years
65%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
85
about 8 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease21%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 23%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease14%
    9.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  3. 03Stroke10%
    6.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.6%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.9%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu3.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  6. 06Lung cancer3.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  7. 07Diabetes3.0%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  8. 08Other cancers3.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
Show the other 35 causes32% together
  1. 09Prostate cancer2.9%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  2. 10COPD & chronic lung disease2.9%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  3. 11Colorectal cancer2.8%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 12Kidney disease2.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  5. 13Other digestive disease2.6%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 14Dementia & Alzheimer's2.2%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 15COVID-192.0%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  9. 17Other causes1.3%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  10. 18Other lung disease1.2%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 19Pancreatic cancer1.1%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  12. 20Bladder cancer1.0%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  13. 21Parkinson's disease0.93%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  14. 22Stomach cancer0.91%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  15. 23Leukaemia & lymphoma0.90%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.71%
  16. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.75%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.69%
  17. 25Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.67%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.58%
    0.38% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  19. 27Falls0.53%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  20. 28Suicide0.47%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  21. 29Other mental health conditions0.40%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.55%
  22. 30Brain cancer0.37%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  23. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.34%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.32%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.26%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  26. 34Other accidents0.22%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.21%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.19%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  29. 37Road accidents0.16%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  30. 38Alcohol use disorder0.06%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Drowning0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 40Breast cancer0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Congenital conditions0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 77-year-old man in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 75–79 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 77-year-old man in Serbia

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.