Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 82-year-old man in Iceland most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
82
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
6.0%
1 in 17
Next 10 years
72%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
90
about 8 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease17%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    9.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease8.7%
    6.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04Stroke6.3%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05Prostate cancer6.2%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu5.2%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  7. 07COPD & chronic lung disease3.6%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  8. 08High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.6%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
Show the other 31 causes37% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease3.2%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 10Diabetes2.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  3. 11Parkinson's disease2.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  4. 12Lung cancer2.8%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.5%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  6. 14Other causes2.4%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.4%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 16Kidney disease2.1%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  9. 17Other cancers2.0%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Other accidents1.7%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 19Bladder cancer1.4%
    0.99% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 20Falls1.4%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 21Pancreatic cancer1.1%
    0.81% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  14. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.1%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  15. 23Other lung disease0.98%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  16. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.95%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
  17. 25COVID-190.89%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.76%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  19. 27Oesophageal cancer0.69%
    0.49% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  20. 28Kidney cancer0.55%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  21. 29Brain cancer0.44%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  22. 30Stomach cancer0.40%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.40%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.26%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.25%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  26. 34Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.22%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  27. 35Alcohol use disorder0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 38Suicide0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 39Road accidents0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the Red Cross helpline on 1717 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old man in Iceland, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Iceland (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 80–84 in Iceland

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Iceland

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Iceland's national screening invitations and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.