Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 82-year-old woman in Luxembourg most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
82
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
4.4%
1 in 23
Next 10 years
61%
about 6 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 9 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease17%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    8.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03Stroke6.7%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease6.3%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  5. 05Heart attack & coronary heart disease5.6%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.0%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  7. 07Other causes3.8%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  8. 08COPD & chronic lung disease3.6%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 33 causes40% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease3.6%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 10Other cancers3.2%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 11Other lung disease2.6%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  4. 12Breast cancer2.6%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 13Colorectal cancer2.5%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 14Diabetes2.2%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  7. 15Lung cancer2.2%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  8. 16Kidney disease2.2%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  10. 18Other accidents2.1%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  11. 19Falls1.9%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 20Parkinson's disease1.7%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  14. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Uterine & ovarian cancer1.4%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  16. 24Pancreatic cancer1.3%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  17. 25COVID-190.96%
    0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  18. 26Kidney cancer0.65%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  19. 27Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.64%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.43%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  21. 29Liver cancer0.41%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  22. 30Bladder cancer0.41%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  23. 31Other mental health conditions0.33%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.32%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.31%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.27%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 35Brain cancer0.24%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.22%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.17%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  30. 38Suicide0.11%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  31. 39Cervical cancer0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  32. 40Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 41Road accidents0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call SOS Détresse on 45 45 45 (11:00–23:00; Fri–Sat to 03:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old woman in Luxembourg, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 80–84 in Luxembourg

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old woman in Luxembourg

Based on Luxembourg's national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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