Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 82-year-old man in Luxembourg most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
82
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
6.3%
1 in 16
Next 10 years
71%
about 7 in 10
Life expectancy
90
about 8 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease15%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 18%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease9.2%
    6.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.9%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's8.7%
    6.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.1%
  4. 04Stroke5.8%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  5. 05COPD & chronic lung disease5.2%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.2%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  7. 07Prostate cancer4.1%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  8. 08Other cancers4.1%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 33 causes44% together
  1. 09Other causes3.7%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  2. 10Lung cancer3.7%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.4%
    2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  4. 12Parkinson's disease3.3%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13Kidney disease2.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 14Other digestive disease2.9%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 15Colorectal cancer2.7%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.2%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 17Other lung disease2.0%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 18Diabetes2.0%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  11. 19Other accidents1.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  13. 21Bladder cancer1.5%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  14. 22Pancreatic cancer1.4%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23COVID-191.2%
    0.85% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.1%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  17. 25Falls1.0%
    0.75% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.66%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.76%
  19. 27Kidney cancer0.64%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.54%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  21. 29Suicide0.47%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  22. 30Oesophageal cancer0.47%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  23. 31Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.45%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.41%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  25. 33Melanoma (skin cancer)0.32%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  26. 34Brain cancer0.22%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 35Other mental health conditions0.21%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  28. 36Road accidents0.19%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.18%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.11%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  31. 39Accidental poisoning & overdose0.08%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  32. 40Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Drowning0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call SOS Détresse on 45 45 45 (11:00–23:00; Fri–Sat to 03:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 82-year-old man in Luxembourg, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Luxembourg (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: men aged 80–84 in Luxembourg

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Luxembourg

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Luxembourg's national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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Do you smoke?

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