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What is an 82-year-old man in Romania most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
82
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
9.5%
1 in 11
Next 10 years
79%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
88
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease25%
    19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease21%
    17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  3. 03Stroke16%
    13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.1%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.0%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease2.5%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 07Prostate cancer2.4%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 08Colorectal cancer2.2%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 35 causes21% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease1.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 10Kidney disease1.8%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 12Lung cancer1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  5. 13Other cancers1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  6. 14Other lung disease1.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  7. 15COVID-191.1%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  8. 16Bladder cancer1.1%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.96%
  9. 17Dementia & Alzheimer's1.1%
    0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  10. 18Diabetes0.89%
    0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  11. 19Stomach cancer0.85%
    0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  12. 20Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.67%
    0.53% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.61%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  14. 22Liver cancer0.58%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  15. 23Pancreatic cancer0.56%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  16. 24Falls0.52%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  17. 25Other causes0.44%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  18. 26Parkinson's disease0.43%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  19. 27Other accidents0.37%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  20. 28Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.34%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  21. 29Kidney cancer0.24%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  22. 30Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.23%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  23. 31Suicide0.21%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  24. 32Road accidents0.17%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  25. 33Brain cancer0.15%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.12%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  27. 35Oesophageal cancer0.11%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  28. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 38Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Drowning0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Alcohol use disorder0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Homicide0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Breast cancer0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

For people like an 82-year-old man in Romania, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Romania (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: men aged 80–84 in Romania

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 82-year-old man in Romania

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Romania's national cervical screening programme and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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