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Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
8.2%
1 in 12
Next 10 years
82%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
93
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease19%
    16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 20%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Stroke7.1%
    5.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.9%
  4. 04Pneumonia & flu6.4%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  5. 05Other causes5.5%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  6. 06Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.6%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  7. 07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.1%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  8. 08Other digestive disease4.1%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
Show the other 36 causes37% together
  1. 09Other cancers3.7%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  2. 10Other lung disease3.4%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  3. 11Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.1%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  4. 12Kidney disease3.0%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13Falls2.6%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  6. 14Other accidents2.4%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  7. 15Breast cancer2.3%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 16COVID-192.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 17COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Colorectal cancer1.6%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19Diabetes1.5%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  12. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.4%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  13. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.2%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  14. 22Parkinson's disease0.97%
    0.79% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  15. 23Lung cancer0.91%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.82%
  16. 24Pancreatic cancer0.74%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  17. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.74%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  18. 26Other mental health conditions0.42%
    0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.31%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.28%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.26%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  23. 31Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.23%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  24. 32Oesophageal cancer0.19%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.16%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.15%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  28. 36Brain cancer0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  29. 37Cervical cancer0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  30. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  31. 39Suicide0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 41Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Belgium

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.