What is an 87-year-old man in Germany most likely to die from?
Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.
Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.
Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.
- 15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 16%
- 12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
- 8.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.0%
- 7.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
- 4.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
- 3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
- 07Other causes3.9%3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
- 2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
Show the other 37 causesHide the other 37 causes37% together
- 2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
- 2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
- 2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
- 2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
- 2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
- 2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
- 2.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
- 1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
- 1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
- 1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
- 1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
- 1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
- 1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
- 0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
- 0.84% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
- 0.70% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.72%
- 0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
- 0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
- 0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
- 0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
- 0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
- 0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
- 0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
- 0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
- 0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
- 0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
- 0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
- 0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
- 0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
- 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
- 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
- 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
- 44Complications around birth<0.01%<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
- <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).
For people like an 87-year-old man in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.
Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in Germany
How long people like this live: life expectancy.
Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Germany
- Blood pressure checkevery 3 years from 35 — the Check-up 35 (blood pressure, cholesterol, blood sugar)
- Bowel cancer screening (stool test)from 50: a colonoscopy (twice, 10 years apart) or a stool test every 2 years
- Flu vaccineevery autumn from 60
- Cholesterol & heart-risk checkevery 3 years from 35 — part of the Check-up 35
- Aortic aneurysm scan (ultrasound)once, men from 65 (ultrasound)
- Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal)once from 60
- Skin cancer checkevery 2 years from 35
- RSV vaccineonce from 75 (60–74 with some health conditions — ask your doctor)
- Blood sugar test (diabetes)every 3 years from 35 — part of the Check-up 35
- Shingles vaccine2 doses, from 60
Based on statutory health insurance (G-BA) screening and STIKO vaccine recommendations. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.
We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.