Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old man in Denmark most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
12%
1 in 8
Next 10 years
90%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  2. 7.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.0%
  3. 7.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.9%
  4. 6.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  5. 5.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  6. 5.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.2%
  7. 07Stroke6.0%
    5.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.8%
  8. 5.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
Show the other 35 causes41% together
  1. 4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  2. 10Other causes3.9%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  3. 2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  4. 12Diabetes3.0%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  5. 2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  7. 15COVID-192.4%
    2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  9. 17Falls2.3%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  11. 1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  12. 1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  13. 1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  16. 0.67% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.79%
  17. 0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.47%
  18. 0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  19. 0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  20. 0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  21. 0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  22. 0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  23. 0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  24. 32Suicide0.23%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  25. 0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  26. 0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  27. 0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  28. 0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  29. 0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  31. 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  32. 40Drowning0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Homicide0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Livslinien on 70 201 201 (09:00–05:00, normal call rate) — confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Denmark, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Denmark (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in Denmark

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Denmark

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Danish national screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.