Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Estonia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
9.6%
1 in 10
Next 10 years
85%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
93
about 6 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01High blood pressure & other circulatory disease35%
    30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 36%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease22%
    18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 22%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.4%
    8.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Stroke7.5%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
  5. 05Other cancers2.5%
    2.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu2.3%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  7. 07Other causes2.1%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 08Dementia & Alzheimer's2.0%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 35 causes17% together
  1. 09Other digestive disease1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer1.8%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  3. 11Diabetes1.7%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  4. 12Breast cancer1.1%
    0.93% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 13Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.97%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  6. 14Leukaemia & lymphoma0.90%
    0.77% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  7. 15COVID-190.90%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  8. 16Falls0.85%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  9. 17Kidney disease0.71%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  10. 18COPD & chronic lung disease0.70%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  11. 19Pancreatic cancer0.66%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  12. 20Lung cancer0.64%
    0.55% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  13. 21Stomach cancer0.60%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  14. 22Uterine & ovarian cancer0.53%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  15. 23Kidney cancer0.37%
    0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  16. 24Parkinson's disease0.34%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  17. 25Bladder cancer0.32%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  18. 26Other accidents0.29%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  19. 27Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.28%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  20. 28Other lung disease0.25%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  21. 29Liver cancer0.22%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  22. 30Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.18%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  23. 31Suicide0.17%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  24. 32Cervical cancer0.14%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  25. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.12%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  28. 36Brain cancer0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  29. 37Other mental health conditions0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 38Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 39Homicide0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Drowning0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Accidental poisoning & overdose0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the emotional support line on 116 123 (10:00–24:00) — free and confidential; at other times, call 112 (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Estonia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Estonia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Estonia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Estonia

Based on Estonian Health Insurance Fund (Tervisekassa) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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