Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Spain most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
7.4%
1 in 14
Next 10 years
79%
about 8 in 10
Life expectancy
94
about 7 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's15%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 02Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.9%
    7.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.4%
  4. 04Other causes8.0%
    6.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.1%
  5. 05Other lung disease7.0%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  6. 06Stroke6.5%
    5.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  7. 07Other digestive disease5.1%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 08Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.9%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
Show the other 36 causes30% together
  1. 09Pneumonia & flu3.4%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  2. 10Diabetes3.2%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  3. 11Kidney disease3.0%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 12Other cancers2.5%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  5. 13COVID-192.1%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  6. 14Colorectal cancer2.0%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  7. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 16COPD & chronic lung disease1.6%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  9. 17Breast cancer1.5%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  10. 18Other accidents1.3%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  11. 19Parkinson's disease1.0%
    0.82% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  12. 20Falls0.95%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.94%
    0.74% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.84%
  14. 22Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.93%
    0.73% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.86%
  15. 23Pancreatic cancer0.77%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.68%
  16. 24Lung cancer0.60%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  17. 25Uterine & ovarian cancer0.59%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  18. 26Stomach cancer0.51%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.37%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.36%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.20%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.19%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 31Brain cancer0.14%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  24. 32Melanoma (skin cancer)0.10%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.10%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  26. 34Cervical cancer0.09%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  27. 35Other mental health conditions0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 37Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Suicide0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 39Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  34. 42Alcohol use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Spain

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Spain

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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