Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old man in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
12%
1 in 8
Next 10 years
91%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
  3. 5.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  4. 04Stroke6.1%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  5. 4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  6. 06Falls5.0%
    4.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  7. 4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  8. 3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
Show the other 35 causes40% together
  1. 09Other causes3.9%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  2. 3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  3. 3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  4. 12COVID-193.1%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  5. 2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 2.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  8. 1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  9. 1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Diabetes1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  12. 1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  14. 1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  15. 1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  16. 0.88% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  17. 0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  18. 0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  19. 0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  20. 0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  21. 0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  23. 0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  24. 0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  25. 0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  26. 34Suicide0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  27. 0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  29. 0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  30. 0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Drowning0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  35. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in the Netherlands

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in the Netherlands

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.