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Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
15%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
94%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease29%
    27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 29%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease26%
    24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 26%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease10%
    9.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  4. 04Stroke8.8%
    8.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's5.3%
    4.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  6. 06Diabetes2.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 07Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 08Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
Show the other 34 causes15% together
  1. 09Kidney disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  2. 10COPD & chronic lung disease1.6%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  3. 11Other cancers1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  4. 12Breast cancer1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 13Other causes0.97%
    0.91% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  6. 14COVID-190.96%
    0.90% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  7. 15Other mental health conditions0.81%
    0.76% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  8. 16Colorectal cancer0.77%
    0.72% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  9. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.72%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  10. 18Other lung disease0.71%
    0.66% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.70%
  11. 19Parkinson's disease0.50%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  12. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.49%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  14. 22Pancreatic cancer0.29%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  15. 23Lung cancer0.24%
    0.22% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  16. 24Uterine & ovarian cancer0.23%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  17. 25Falls0.20%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.17%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  19. 27Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  20. 28Bladder cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  21. 29Other accidents0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  22. 30Brain cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  23. 31Stomach cancer0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.08%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  26. 34Cervical cancer0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  28. 36Suicide0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  30. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 39Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 40Road accidents0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Serbia

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.