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Free risk check · real data

What is a 92-year-old woman in Belgium most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
92
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
15%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
93%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease21%
    20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 21%
  2. 02Dementia & Alzheimer's13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Pneumonia & flu7.2%
    6.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  4. 04Stroke6.5%
    6.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05Other causes6.0%
    5.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease4.5%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  7. 07Heart attack & coronary heart disease4.3%
    4.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  8. 08Other digestive disease4.1%
    3.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
Show the other 35 causes33% together
  1. 09Other lung disease3.9%
    3.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  2. 10Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.1%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  3. 11Kidney disease3.0%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  4. 12Other cancers3.0%
    2.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13Other accidents2.9%
    2.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  6. 14Falls2.8%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  7. 15COVID-192.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  8. 16Breast cancer1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 17COPD & chronic lung disease1.7%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  10. 18Diabetes1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19Colorectal cancer1.2%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  12. 20Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.0%
    0.96% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  13. 21Leukaemia & lymphoma0.84%
    0.78% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  14. 22Parkinson's disease0.58%
    0.54% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.57%
  15. 23Lung cancer0.55%
    0.51% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  16. 24Pancreatic cancer0.45%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  17. 25Other mental health conditions0.44%
    0.41% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  18. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.43%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.28%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  20. 28Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.18%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.16%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  25. 33Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  28. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 37Cervical cancer0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  30. 38Suicide0.04%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Brain cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Road accidents0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Congenital conditions0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 1813 (Zelfmoordlijn) or 0800 32 123 (Centre de Prévention du Suicide) — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old woman in Belgium, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Belgium (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 90–94 in Belgium

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old woman in Belgium

Based on the Belgian regional screening programmes, INAMI/RIZIV rules and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
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