Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 92-year-old man in Canada most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
92
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
17%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
94%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Dementia & Alzheimer's17%
    16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease13%
    12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  3. 03Heart failure & other heart disease9.5%
    9.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  4. 04Stroke4.8%
    4.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.8%
  5. 05Falls4.4%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  6. 06Other causes4.1%
    3.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  7. 07COVID-193.8%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu3.7%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
Show the other 35 causes39% together
  1. 09Prostate cancer3.6%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  2. 10COPD & chronic lung disease3.4%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.4%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  4. 12Other digestive disease3.4%
    3.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  5. 13Other lung disease3.2%
    3.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  6. 14Other cancers3.1%
    2.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 15Kidney disease2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  8. 16Lung cancer2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  9. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Colorectal cancer1.9%
    1.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  11. 19Diabetes1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  12. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    1.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  13. 21Parkinson's disease1.4%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  14. 22Bladder cancer1.1%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Other accidents0.94%
    0.89% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.94%
  16. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.73%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  17. 25Pancreatic cancer0.64%
    0.60% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.42%
    0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  19. 27Kidney cancer0.39%
    0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.34%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  22. 30Oesophageal cancer0.29%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.28%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  24. 32Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.22%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  25. 33Other mental health conditions0.21%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  26. 34Road accidents0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  27. 35Brain cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  28. 36Suicide0.11%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  29. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  30. 38Alcohol use disorder0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  32. 40Breast cancer0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Homicide0.01%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 90–94 in Canada

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in Canada

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.