Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 92-year-old man in France most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
92
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
17%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
95%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
96
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease15%
    14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 15%
  2. 02Other causes6.8%
    6.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.8%
  3. 03Dementia & Alzheimer's6.7%
    6.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.7%
  4. 04Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.5%
    6.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  5. 05Pneumonia & flu5.8%
    5.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  6. 06High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.3%
    5.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
  7. 07Stroke5.1%
    4.8% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 08COVID-194.5%
    4.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
Show the other 36 causes44% together
  1. 09Other lung disease4.4%
    4.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  2. 10Other cancers4.3%
    4.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  3. 11Prostate cancer3.9%
    3.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  4. 12Other digestive disease3.7%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  5. 13Falls3.6%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
  6. 14Other accidents3.2%
    3.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  7. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.7%
    2.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  8. 16Kidney disease2.4%
    2.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 17COPD & chronic lung disease2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  10. 18Diabetes2.0%
    1.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  11. 19Colorectal cancer1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  12. 20Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  13. 21Lung cancer1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  14. 22Parkinson's disease1.2%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  15. 23Bladder cancer1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  16. 24Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.2%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  17. 25Pancreatic cancer0.65%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  18. 26Other mental health conditions0.48%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  19. 27Suicide0.38%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.37%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  21. 29Stomach cancer0.35%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  22. 30Kidney cancer0.34%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.27%
    0.26% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  24. 32Oesophageal cancer0.22%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  25. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.19%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.14%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  27. 35Accidental poisoning & overdose0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  28. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.11%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  29. 37Brain cancer0.10%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  30. 38Road accidents0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  31. 39Alcohol use disorder0.05%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  32. 40Breast cancer0.03%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Congenital conditions0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  34. 42Drowning0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  35. 43Homicide<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  36. 44Drug use disorder<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 92-year-old man in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 90–94 in France

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 92-year-old man in France

If you smoke or used to:

Based on the Assurance maladie screening programmes and the 2025 French vaccine calendar. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.