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Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Canada most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,861
Next 10 years
0.39%
1 in 259
Life expectancy
85
about 68 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose30%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  2. 02Suicide20%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.41%
  3. 03Road accidents10%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Other cancers3.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  6. 06Other causes2.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  7. 07Congenital conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
Show the other 33 causes26% together
  1. 09Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  2. 10Heart failure & other heart disease1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
  3. 11Homicide1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  4. 12Brain cancer1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  5. 13Other accidents1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  6. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  7. 15Other digestive disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  8. 16Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  9. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  11. 19Diabetes1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  13. 21Other lung disease0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  14. 22Pregnancy & childbirth0.90%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  15. 23Drowning0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  16. 24Other mental health conditions0.72%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.22%
  17. 25Stroke0.71%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
  18. 26Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  19. 27Alcohol use disorder0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  20. 28Breast cancer0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  21. 29Falls0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  22. 30COVID-190.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  23. 31Colorectal cancer0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  24. 32Drug use disorder0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  25. 33COPD & chronic lung disease0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  26. 34Kidney disease0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  28. 36Pancreatic cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  29. 37Liver cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
  30. 38Kidney cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  31. 39Lung cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  32. 40Stomach cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.40%
  33. 41Cervical cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.20%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Canada

How long people like this live: life expectancy.