Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Germany most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,035
Next 10 years
0.18%
1 in 550
Life expectancy
83
about 66 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide17%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  2. 02Road accidents11%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Other cancers6.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 05Other causes6.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  6. 06Congenital conditions5.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  7. 07Accidental poisoning & overdose3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
Show the other 36 causes38% together
  1. 09Brain cancer3.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  2. 10Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)3.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  3. 11Other accidents2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.95%
  4. 12High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  5. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  6. 14Homicide2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  7. 15Other mental health conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  9. 17Uterine & ovarian cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  11. 19Pneumonia & flu1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  12. 20Stroke1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  13. 21Drug use disorder1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  14. 22Other lung disease0.89%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  15. 23Drowning0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  16. 24Breast cancer0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  17. 25Stomach cancer0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.60%
  18. 26COVID-190.75%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  19. 27Colorectal cancer0.70%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  20. 28Falls0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  21. 29Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  22. 30Complications around birth0.62%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  23. 31Diabetes0.57%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  24. 32Cervical cancer0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  25. 33Pregnancy & childbirth0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  26. 34Melanoma (skin cancer)0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  27. 35Kidney disease0.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  28. 36Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  29. 37Lung cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  30. 38Liver cancer0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  31. 39COPD & chronic lung disease0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  32. 40Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.89%
  33. 41Pancreatic cancer0.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  34. 42Alcohol use disorder0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  35. 43Oesophageal cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  36. 44Dementia & Alzheimer's0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call TelefonSeelsorge on 0800 111 0 111 or 0800 111 0 222 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Germany, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Germany (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Germany

How long people like this live: life expectancy.