Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in Spain most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 7,924
Next 10 years
0.15%
1 in 690
Life expectancy
87
about 70 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide18%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  2. 02Road accidents15%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  3. 03Other cancers9.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)8.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Other lung disease3.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.0%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  7. 07Other causes3.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
  8. 08Other accidents2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
Show the other 33 causes35% together
  1. 09Congenital conditions2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  2. 10Brain cancer2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.56%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.8%
  4. 12Accidental poisoning & overdose2.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  5. 13Heart failure & other heart disease2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  6. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 15Falls1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.93%
  8. 16Colorectal cancer1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  9. 17Homicide1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  10. 18Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.3%
  11. 19Other digestive disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  12. 20Uterine & ovarian cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  13. 21COPD & chronic lung disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  14. 22COVID-190.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  15. 23Stomach cancer0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  16. 24Diabetes0.85%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  17. 25Pneumonia & flu0.84%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  18. 26Drowning0.69%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  19. 27Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  20. 28Breast cancer0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.51%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  22. 30Complications around birth0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  23. 31Other mental health conditions0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  24. 32Liver cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.40%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.36%
  27. 35Lung cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  28. 36Cervical cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  29. 37Bladder cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  30. 38Pregnancy & childbirth0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  31. 39Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  32. 40Kidney cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  33. 41Pancreatic cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in Spain

How long people like this live: life expectancy.