Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old boy in Spain most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 5,089
Next 10 years
0.33%
1 in 300
Life expectancy
81
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's road accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Road accidents22%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.52%
  2. 02Suicide19%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)7.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  4. 04Other cancers6.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 05Accidental poisoning & overdose5.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  6. 06Leukaemia & lymphoma4.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 07Other accidents4.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease3.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
Show the other 31 causes28% together
  1. 09Falls3.4%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 10Drowning3.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  3. 11Other lung disease2.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  4. 12Homicide2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  5. 13Other causes2.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  6. 14Congenital conditions2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  7. 15Stroke1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  8. 16Brain cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  9. 17Other digestive disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  11. 19Pneumonia & flu0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  12. 20High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.79%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  13. 21Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.68%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  14. 22COVID-190.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  15. 23Colorectal cancer0.53%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  16. 24Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  17. 25Complications around birth0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  18. 26Liver cancer0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  19. 27Stomach cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 28Melanoma (skin cancer)0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  21. 29Diabetes0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  22. 30Lung cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  23. 31Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  24. 32COPD & chronic lung disease0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  25. 33Oesophageal cancer0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  27. 35Kidney disease0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  28. 36Prostate cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  29. 37Bladder cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  30. 38Other mental health conditions0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  31. 39Pancreatic cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old boy in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 15–19 in Spain

How long people like this live: life expectancy.