Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in the United States most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.03%
1 in 3,235
Next 10 years
0.45%
1 in 223
Life expectancy
82
about 65 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Accidental poisoning & overdose20%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Road accidents20%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  3. 03Suicide13%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  4. 04Homicide8.2%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  5. 05Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  6. 06Other causes3.4%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
  7. 07Other cancers2.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  8. 08Heart failure & other heart disease2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
Show the other 39 causes26% together
  1. 09Pregnancy & childbirth2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  2. 10Congenital conditions2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.2%
  4. 12Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  6. 14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  7. 15Diabetes1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  8. 16Other accidents1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  9. 17Other digestive disease1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  10. 18Brain cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  11. 19Other lung disease0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  13. 21COPD & chronic lung disease0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  14. 22Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  15. 23Stroke0.87%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.0%
  16. 24Drowning0.60%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  17. 25Kidney disease0.56%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  18. 26Uterine & ovarian cancer0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  19. 27Breast cancer0.45%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  20. 28Alcohol use disorder0.43%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  21. 29Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
  22. 30COVID-190.39%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  23. 31Other mental health conditions0.37%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  24. 32Drug use disorder0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  25. 33Colorectal cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  26. 34Falls0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  27. 35Liver cancer0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
  28. 36Stomach cancer0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  29. 37Melanoma (skin cancer)0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  30. 38Lung cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  31. 39Cervical cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  32. 40Kidney cancer0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  33. 41Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  34. 42Pancreatic cancer0.04%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  35. 43Oesophageal cancer0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  36. 44Complications around birth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  37. 45Parkinson's disease0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  38. 46Bladder cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  39. 47Dementia & Alzheimer's<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in the United States

How long people like this live: life expectancy.