Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old man in Spain most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.04%
1 in 2,613
Next 10 years
0.43%
1 in 231
Life expectancy
81
about 59 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide21%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.99%
  2. 02Road accidents18%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  3. 03Accidental poisoning & overdose6.2%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)5.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  5. 05Other cancers5.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  6. 06Heart failure & other heart disease4.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.8%
  7. 07Other accidents4.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  8. 08Leukaemia & lymphoma3.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
Show the other 32 causes32% together
  1. 09Falls3.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  2. 10Drowning2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  3. 11Homicide2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  4. 12Other lung disease2.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  5. 13Brain cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.66%
  6. 14Stroke2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  7. 15Other causes2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.6%
  8. 16Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.6%
  9. 17Other digestive disease1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  10. 18Congenital conditions1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu0.92%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  13. 21Colorectal cancer0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  14. 22Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.06%
  15. 23High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.74%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  16. 24Lung cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.6%
  17. 25Stomach cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  18. 26COVID-190.47%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  20. 28COPD & chronic lung disease0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  22. 30Complications around birth0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.22%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  25. 33Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  26. 34Oesophageal cancer0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  27. 35Kidney disease0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  28. 36Pancreatic cancer0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  29. 37Diabetes0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  30. 38Bladder cancer0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  31. 39Prostate cancer0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  32. 40Drug use disorder0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 024, the suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old man in Spain, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Spain (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 20–24 in Spain

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old man in Spain

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Spanish National Health System screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.