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Free risk check · real data

What is a 22-year-old woman in Italy most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
22
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.02%
1 in 6,236
Next 10 years
0.19%
1 in 536
Life expectancy
86
about 64 more years on average
The surpriseAt 22, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide13%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  2. 02Road accidents12%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  3. 03Other cancers7.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  5. 05Leukaemia & lymphoma6.6%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 06Other causes3.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  7. 07Congenital conditions3.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  8. 08Breast cancer3.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
Show the other 37 causes42% together
  1. 09Stroke3.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.2%
  2. 10Heart failure & other heart disease2.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.5%
  3. 11Brain cancer2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  4. 12Other accidents2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  5. 13Uterine & ovarian cancer2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  6. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  7. 15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  8. 16Other digestive disease1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  9. 17Other lung disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  10. 18Stomach cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  11. 19Colorectal cancer1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 20Homicide1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  13. 21Melanoma (skin cancer)1.5%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  14. 22Accidental poisoning & overdose1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  15. 23Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  16. 24Cervical cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  17. 25Complications around birth1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  18. 26Lung cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  19. 27Falls1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  20. 28Other mental health conditions0.95%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  21. 29Pregnancy & childbirth0.94%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  22. 30COVID-190.80%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.65%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  24. 32Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.64%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  25. 33Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  26. 34Diabetes0.58%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  27. 35Pancreatic cancer0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  28. 36Kidney cancer0.52%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  29. 37Drowning0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  30. 38Bladder cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  31. 39Drug use disorder0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 40Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  33. 41Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.14%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  34. 42Oesophageal cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  35. 43COPD & chronic lung disease0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  36. 44Alcohol use disorder0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  37. 45Kidney disease0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 22-year-old woman in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 20–24 in Italy

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 22-year-old woman in Italy

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.