Free risk check · real data

What is a 27-year-old woman in the United States most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.06%

1 in 1,574

Next 10 years

0.93%

1 in 107

Life expectancy

about 55 more years on average

The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's accidental poisoning & overdose.

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Accidental poisoning & overdose24%
0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
02Road accidents9.3%
0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
03Suicide7.9%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
04Homicide4.2%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
05Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)4.2%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
06Other causes3.9%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%
07High blood pressure & other circulatory disease3.5%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
08Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%

Show the other 39 causes39% together

09Heart failure & other heart disease3.2%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.3%
10Breast cancer3.1%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
11Pregnancy & childbirth2.4%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
12Diabetes2.4%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
13Other cancers2.2%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
14Other digestive disease2.1%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
15Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.1%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
16Alcohol use disorder1.8%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
17Stroke1.6%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.1%
18Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.6%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.8%
19Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.5%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
20Colorectal cancer1.2%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
21Other accidents1.1%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
22Pneumonia & flu1.1%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
23Cervical cancer1.1%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
24Leukaemia & lymphoma1.1%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
25Other lung disease1.0%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
26Kidney disease1.0%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
27Uterine & ovarian cancer0.98%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
28Congenital conditions0.93%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
29COPD & chronic lung disease0.82%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.2%
30Brain cancer0.79%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
31Drug use disorder0.70%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
32COVID-190.44%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
33Drowning0.44%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
34Stomach cancer0.40%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
35Falls0.39%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
36Lung cancer0.37%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
37Melanoma (skin cancer)0.30%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
38Liver cancer0.28%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
39Other mental health conditions0.25%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
40Pancreatic cancer0.16%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
41Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.13%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
42Kidney cancer0.11%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
43Oesophageal cancer0.09%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
44Bladder cancer0.04%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
45Dementia & Alzheimer's0.02%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
46Parkinson's disease0.01%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
47Complications around birth<0.01%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old woman in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 25–29 in the United States

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old woman in the United States

Cervical screening (Pap test)
every 3 years, ages 21–29
Blood pressure check
every 3–5 years from 18 (every year from 40)
Flu vaccine
every fall — recommended for all adults
Hepatitis C test
once, ages 18–79
HIV test
at least once, ages 15–65

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Early heart attack or stroke in the family — cholesterol & heart-risk check
now, whatever your age — then as advised · ask your doctor
Breast or ovarian cancer in the family — risk check and genetic counselling
ask your doctor once — you may be offered earlier mammograms (often yearly from 40) or a gene test

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.