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What is a 42-year-old woman in Türkiye most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
42
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.13%
1 in 742
Next 10 years
1.9%
1 in 53
Life expectancy
82
about 40 more years on average
The surpriseAt 42, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's other accidents.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Other accidents33%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  2. 02Breast cancer8.0%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  3. 03Heart attack & coronary heart disease6.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  4. 04Stroke4.3%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.9%
  5. 05Heart failure & other heart disease4.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  6. 06Pneumonia & flu4.1%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.9%
  7. 07Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.3%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.5%
  8. 08Uterine & ovarian cancer2.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
Show the other 36 causes34% together
  1. 09High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.5%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  2. 10Colorectal cancer2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  3. 11Other cancers2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  4. 12Lung cancer2.4%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  5. 13Leukaemia & lymphoma2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.81%
  6. 14Kidney disease2.0%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  7. 15Other causes1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  8. 16Road accidents1.9%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  9. 17Diabetes1.8%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  10. 18Brain cancer1.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  11. 19Stomach cancer1.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  12. 20Other digestive disease1.6%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  13. 21Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.5%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.49%
  14. 22Suicide1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  15. 23Pancreatic cancer1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.87%
  16. 24COPD & chronic lung disease1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  17. 25Other lung disease1.0%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  18. 26Cervical cancer0.87%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  19. 27Liver cancer0.50%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  20. 28Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.46%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  21. 29Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.41%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  22. 30Oesophageal cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  23. 31Homicide0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  24. 32Kidney cancer0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  25. 33COVID-190.19%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  26. 34Falls0.18%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.17%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
  28. 36Accidental poisoning & overdose0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  29. 37Bladder cancer0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  30. 38Congenital conditions0.11%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 39Pregnancy & childbirth0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  32. 40Drowning0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  33. 41Other mental health conditions0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  34. 42Parkinson's disease0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
  35. 43Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  36. 44Dementia & Alzheimer's0.02%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, free, confidential support is available.

About these numbers. Türkiye's figures are for 2023, the year of the February earthquakes. About 50,000 earthquake deaths are counted under “other accidents”, so that cause is far higher than in an ordinary year — above all for young adults.

For people like a 42-year-old woman in Türkiye, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Türkiye (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 40–44 in Türkiye

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 42-year-old woman in Türkiye

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Türkiye's national cancer screening programmes (Ministry of Health) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.