Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 47-year-old woman in Italy most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
47
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.11%
1 in 929
Next 10 years
1.7%
1 in 59
Life expectancy
86
about 39 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Breast cancer16%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.3%
  2. 02Lung cancer7.5%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  3. 03Uterine & ovarian cancer7.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  4. 04Other cancers7.3%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  5. 05Colorectal cancer5.3%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  6. 06Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)4.2%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  7. 07Stroke3.8%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.3%
  8. 08Pancreatic cancer3.7%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
Show the other 39 causes45% together
  1. 09Other causes3.6%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.4%
  2. 10Heart attack & coronary heart disease3.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  3. 11Brain cancer2.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  4. 12Leukaemia & lymphoma2.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 13High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.8%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 11%
  6. 14Other digestive disease2.6%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  7. 15Heart failure & other heart disease2.3%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  8. 16Stomach cancer2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  9. 17Suicide2.1%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  10. 18Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)2.0%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  11. 19Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.5%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  12. 20Diabetes1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  13. 21Liver cancer1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.73%
  14. 22Melanoma (skin cancer)1.3%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  15. 23Congenital conditions1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  16. 24Cervical cancer1.2%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  17. 25Other lung disease1.1%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  18. 26Other accidents0.98%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  19. 27Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.96%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  20. 28Road accidents0.91%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  21. 29COVID-190.89%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  22. 30COPD & chronic lung disease0.84%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
  23. 31Kidney cancer0.81%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  24. 32Other mental health conditions0.76%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  25. 33Pneumonia & flu0.71%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  26. 34Kidney disease0.44%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  27. 35Falls0.42%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.77%
  28. 36Bladder cancer0.38%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.39%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.30%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  30. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  31. 39Dementia & Alzheimer's0.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.7%
  32. 40Homicide0.16%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  33. 41Alcohol use disorder0.15%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Parkinson's disease0.13%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  35. 43Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  36. 44Drowning0.12%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  37. 45Drug use disorder0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  38. 46Pregnancy & childbirth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  39. 47Complications around birth0.03%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Telefono Amico on 02 2327 2327 (normal call rate) — confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 47-year-old woman in Italy, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Italy (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 45–49 in Italy

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 47-year-old woman in Italy

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Italian LEA screening programmes (regions vary) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.