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Free risk check · real data

What is a 52-year-old man in Serbia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
52
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.72%
1 in 140
Next 10 years
11%
1 in 9
Life expectancy
77
about 25 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart failure & other heart disease14%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 19%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease12%
    1.3% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  3. 03Lung cancer10%
    1.1% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.1%
  4. 04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease8.7%
    0.98% chance over 10 years · lifetime 13%
  5. 05Stroke6.1%
    0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.7%
  6. 06Other cancers4.0%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer3.9%
    0.44% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.2%
  8. 08Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)2.8%
    0.32% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.88%
Show the other 36 causes38% together
  1. 09Mouth, throat & larynx cancer2.5%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  2. 10Diabetes2.5%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  3. 11Other digestive disease2.4%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  4. 12Pneumonia & flu2.2%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  5. 13COPD & chronic lung disease2.0%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  6. 14Suicide1.9%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  7. 15Pancreatic cancer1.9%
    0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  9. 17Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)1.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.92%
  10. 18Stomach cancer1.7%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  11. 19Kidney disease1.6%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  12. 20Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
  13. 21Brain cancer1.2%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  14. 22Liver cancer1.1%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  15. 23Road accidents1.1%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.34%
  16. 24Other lung disease1.0%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  17. 25Kidney cancer1.0%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  18. 26Other accidents0.98%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  19. 27Prostate cancer0.91%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  20. 28Other causes0.88%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  21. 29Alcohol use disorder0.85%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
  22. 30Bladder cancer0.83%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  23. 31COVID-190.70%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  24. 32Oesophageal cancer0.70%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  25. 33Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.68%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  26. 34Other mental health conditions0.59%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
  27. 35Melanoma (skin cancer)0.58%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  28. 36Falls0.45%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  29. 37Drowning0.30%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 38Dementia & Alzheimer's0.20%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  31. 39Homicide0.19%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Accidental poisoning & overdose0.14%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  33. 41Parkinson's disease0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  34. 42Breast cancer0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  35. 43Congenital conditions0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  36. 44Drug use disorder0.05%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national SOS line on 0800 309 309, option 1 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 52-year-old man in Serbia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Serbia (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 50–54 in Serbia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 52-year-old man in Serbia

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on Serbia's national screening programmes (Batut Institute) and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.