Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 57-year-old woman in Canada most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
57
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.34%
1 in 290
Next 10 years
5.4%
1 in 19
Life expectancy
86
about 29 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Lung cancer13%
    0.69% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  2. 02Heart attack & coronary heart disease7.8%
    0.42% chance over 10 years · lifetime 9.6%
  3. 03Breast cancer6.8%
    0.36% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  4. 04Other cancers5.1%
    0.28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  5. 05Uterine & ovarian cancer5.1%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease4.9%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.3%
  7. 07Colorectal cancer4.2%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 08Pancreatic cancer3.7%
    0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
Show the other 39 causes50% together
  1. 09Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.6%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  2. 10Other digestive disease3.5%
    0.19% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  3. 11Other causes3.3%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  4. 12Stroke3.1%
    0.17% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.4%
  5. 13Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.0%
    0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  6. 14High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.9%
    0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.1%
  7. 15Heart failure & other heart disease2.6%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.5%
  8. 16Leukaemia & lymphoma2.5%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 17Diabetes2.5%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  10. 18Accidental poisoning & overdose1.8%
    0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  11. 19Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.7%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  12. 20Liver cancer1.6%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.74%
  13. 21Brain cancer1.6%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  14. 22Pneumonia & flu1.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  15. 23Other lung disease1.5%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  16. 24Dementia & Alzheimer's1.4%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  17. 25Suicide1.1%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  18. 26Kidney disease1.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  19. 27COVID-191.0%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
  20. 28Stomach cancer0.88%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
  21. 29Falls0.85%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  22. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.77%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  23. 31Cervical cancer0.68%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  24. 32Oesophageal cancer0.64%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  25. 33Kidney cancer0.61%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  26. 34Congenital conditions0.60%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.09%
  27. 35Other accidents0.56%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.90%
  28. 36Melanoma (skin cancer)0.53%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
  29. 37Alcohol use disorder0.51%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  30. 38Road accidents0.48%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  31. 39Bladder cancer0.40%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.44%
  32. 40Parkinson's disease0.28%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  33. 41Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.26%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  34. 42Other mental health conditions0.22%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  35. 43Homicide0.10%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  36. 44Drowning0.09%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  37. 45Drug use disorder0.08%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  38. 46Pregnancy & childbirth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  39. 47Complications around birth<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide Crisis Helpline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 57-year-old woman in Canada, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Canada (2023–2024), Statistics Canada. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 55–59 in Canada

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old woman in Canada

If you smoke or used to:

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the Canadian Task Force on Preventive Health Care and NACI. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.