Free risk check · real data

What is a 57-year-old woman in the United States most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country

Age

Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months

0.52%

1 in 191

Next 10 years

7.6%

1 in 13

Life expectancy

about 27 more years on average

Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

01Heart attack & coronary heart disease8.9%
0.68% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
02Lung cancer7.8%
0.59% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.7%
03COPD & chronic lung disease6.2%
0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.3%
04High blood pressure & other circulatory disease5.6%
0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.4%
05Breast cancer5.1%
0.39% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
06Heart failure & other heart disease4.9%
0.37% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.6%
07Other cancers4.5%
0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
08Other causes4.4%
0.34% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.9%

Show the other 39 causes53% together

09Stroke4.0%
0.31% chance over 10 years · lifetime 7.3%
10Diabetes3.9%
0.30% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
11Uterine & ovarian cancer3.5%
0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.4%
12Other digestive disease3.2%
0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
13Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)3.1%
0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.75%
14Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)3.0%
0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
15Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)3.0%
0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
16Colorectal cancer2.7%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
17Pancreatic cancer2.7%
0.21% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
18Accidental poisoning & overdose2.6%
0.20% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
19Other lung disease2.1%
0.16% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.3%
20Kidney disease2.0%
0.15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
21Leukaemia & lymphoma1.8%
0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
22Pneumonia & flu1.5%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
23Dementia & Alzheimer's1.4%
0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 14%
24Liver cancer1.3%
0.10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.62%
25Brain cancer1.1%
0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.38%
26Road accidents0.98%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.28%
27COVID-190.98%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
28Suicide0.96%
0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
29Falls0.75%
0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
30Other accidents0.66%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.50%
31Alcohol use disorder0.66%
0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.10%
32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.58%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.25%
33Cervical cancer0.57%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
34Stomach cancer0.50%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
35Kidney cancer0.48%
0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.30%
36Oesophageal cancer0.42%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.34%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
38Congenital conditions0.33%
0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
39Melanoma (skin cancer)0.33%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
40Bladder cancer0.33%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
41Parkinson's disease0.31%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.2%
42Homicide0.24%
0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
43Other mental health conditions0.17%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
44Drug use disorder0.15%
0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
45Drowning0.08%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
46Complications around birth<0.01%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
47Pregnancy & childbirth<0.01%
<0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call or text 988, the Suicide & Crisis Lifeline — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 57-year-old woman in the United States, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the United States (2023–2024), CDC. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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Full page with comparisons: women aged 55–59 in the United States

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 57-year-old woman in the United States

Blood pressure check
every year from 40 (every 3–5 years before)
Colorectal cancer screening
ages 45–75 — a stool test (FIT) every year, or a colonoscopy every 10 years
Breast cancer screening (mammogram)
every 2 years, ages 40–74
Cervical screening (HPV test)
every 5 years, ages 30–65 (HPV test)
Flu vaccine
every fall — recommended for all adults
Cholesterol & heart-risk check
from 40, every 5 years or as your doctor advises (earlier with risk factors)
Pneumonia vaccine (pneumococcal)
from 50 — one or two shots, depending on the vaccine
Blood sugar test (diabetes)
every 3 years from 35
Shingles vaccine
2 doses, from 50
Hepatitis C test
once, ages 18–79
HIV test
at least once, ages 15–65

If you smoke or used to:

Lung cancer screening (low-dose CT)
every year, ages 50–80, if you have smoked 20 pack-years and still smoke or quit within 15 years

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Bowel cancer in the family — earlier bowel check
often a colonoscopy every 5 years from 40 (or 10 years before your relative's age at diagnosis, if earlier) · ask your doctor
Breast or ovarian cancer in the family — risk check and genetic counselling
ask your doctor once — you may be offered earlier mammograms (often yearly from 40) or a gene test

Based on USPSTF recommendations and the CDC adult immunization schedule. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal

Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.