Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old man in Hungary most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
15%
about 2 in 10
Next 10 years
93%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
91
about 4 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease32%
    29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02High blood pressure & other circulatory disease17%
    15% chance over 10 years · lifetime 17%
  3. 03Stroke8.6%
    7.9% chance over 10 years · lifetime 8.5%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease5.7%
    5.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.7%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's5.1%
    4.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.0%
  6. 06COPD & chronic lung disease3.7%
    3.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  7. 07COVID-192.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  8. 08Prostate cancer2.7%
    2.5% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
Show the other 33 causes23% together
  1. 09Colorectal cancer2.2%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  2. 10Other causes2.1%
    2.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.2%
  3. 11Pneumonia & flu1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 12Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  5. 13Diabetes1.8%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  6. 14Lung cancer1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  7. 15Falls1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  8. 16Other cancers1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  9. 17Bladder cancer1.0%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  10. 18Other lung disease0.69%
    0.64% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.67%
  11. 19Leukaemia & lymphoma0.67%
    0.62% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  12. 20Parkinson's disease0.61%
    0.56% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  13. 21Suicide0.56%
    0.52% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  14. 22Stomach cancer0.54%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  15. 23Pancreatic cancer0.54%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  16. 24Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.49%
    0.45% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  17. 25Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.43%
    0.40% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.43%
  18. 26Kidney disease0.38%
    0.35% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.37%
  19. 27Other accidents0.36%
    0.33% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  20. 28Kidney cancer0.26%
    0.24% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.26%
  21. 29Melanoma (skin cancer)0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.23%
  22. 30Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.25%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  23. 31Liver cancer0.15%
    0.14% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  24. 32Road accidents0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  25. 33Brain cancer0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  26. 34Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.13%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  27. 35Alcohol use disorder0.09%
    0.08% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 36Oesophageal cancer0.07%
    0.06% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  29. 37Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Other mental health conditions0.04%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  31. 39Congenital conditions0.03%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  32. 40Breast cancer<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%
  33. 41Drowning<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call Lelki Elsősegély on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old man in Hungary, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Hungary (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: men aged 85–89 in Hungary

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old man in Hungary

If you smoke or used to:

Based on Hungarian national (NNGYK) screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Make it personal
Do you smoke?

We never store your answer with anything that identifies you — it stays on this device until you create an account, then carries over. Educational, not medical advice.