Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is an 87-year-old woman in Latvia most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
87
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
12%
1 in 9
Next 10 years
89%
about 9 in 10
Life expectancy
92
about 5 more years on average
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Heart attack & coronary heart disease31%
    28% chance over 10 years · lifetime 32%
  2. 02Stroke28%
    25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 28%
  3. 03High blood pressure & other circulatory disease12%
    10% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  4. 04Heart failure & other heart disease4.9%
    4.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.1%
  5. 05Dementia & Alzheimer's3.8%
    3.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.9%
  6. 06Other digestive disease1.9%
    1.7% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  7. 07Diabetes1.8%
    1.6% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  8. 08Pneumonia & flu1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
Show the other 35 causes15% together
  1. 09Other cancers1.6%
    1.4% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.5%
  2. 10Other causes1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  3. 11Kidney disease1.3%
    1.2% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.3%
  4. 12Colorectal cancer1.1%
    1.0% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  5. 13Breast cancer1.0%
    0.92% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.98%
  6. 14Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)0.93%
    0.83% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.91%
  7. 15Pancreatic cancer0.69%
    0.61% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.65%
  8. 16Falls0.66%
    0.58% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  9. 17Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)0.56%
    0.50% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  10. 18Other accidents0.55%
    0.48% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.54%
  11. 19Stomach cancer0.53%
    0.47% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.51%
  12. 20COVID-190.52%
    0.46% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  13. 21Lung cancer0.49%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  14. 22Leukaemia & lymphoma0.48%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  15. 23Uterine & ovarian cancer0.48%
    0.43% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  16. 24Kidney cancer0.33%
    0.29% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.32%
  17. 25COPD & chronic lung disease0.30%
    0.27% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.29%
  18. 26Parkinson's disease0.29%
    0.25% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  19. 27Bladder cancer0.26%
    0.23% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%
  20. 28Liver cancer0.20%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.19%
  21. 29Cervical cancer0.15%
    0.13% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  22. 30Other lung disease0.14%
    0.12% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.13%
  23. 31Melanoma (skin cancer)0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  24. 32Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)0.13%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.12%
  25. 33Brain cancer0.12%
    0.11% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  26. 34Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.11%
    0.09% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.11%
  27. 35Suicide0.07%
    0.07% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  28. 36Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.06%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  29. 37Oesophageal cancer0.05%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  30. 38Accidental poisoning & overdose0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  31. 39Drowning0.02%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.02%
  32. 40Road accidents0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  33. 41Alcohol use disorder0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  34. 42Homicide0.02%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  35. 43Other mental health conditions<0.01%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime <0.01%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call the national crisis line on 116 123 — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like an 87-year-old woman in Latvia, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for Latvia (2018, 2019 and 2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 85–89 in Latvia

How long people like this live: life expectancy.

What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for an 87-year-old woman in Latvia

Based on Latvian National Health Service screening and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

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