Odainn
Free risk check · real data

What is a 17-year-old girl in France most likely to die from?

Move the controls. The answer comes from official mortality statistics for 37 countries in Europe and North America — and it surprises almost everyone.

Country
Age
17
Sex at birth

Official mortality statistics are published by sex at birth, which is why we ask.

Next 12 months
0.01%
1 in 6,973
Next 10 years
0.20%
1 in 491
Life expectancy
86
about 69 more years on average
The surpriseAt 17, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide23%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.58%
  2. 02Road accidents11%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.16%
  3. 03Other accidents7.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.9%
  4. 04Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.0%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  5. 05Other cancers5.9%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.7%
  6. 06Other causes4.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  7. 07Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)4.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.42%
  8. 08Congenital conditions3.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
Show the other 35 causes34% together
  1. 09Leukaemia & lymphoma2.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.0%
  2. 10Brain cancer2.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  3. 11High blood pressure & other circulatory disease2.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  4. 12Heart failure & other heart disease2.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 12%
  5. 13Stroke2.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  6. 14Homicide1.9%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.03%
  7. 15Falls1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  8. 16Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.8%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  9. 17Other mental health conditions1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  10. 18Other digestive disease1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  11. 19Other lung disease1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.4%
  12. 20Pneumonia & flu1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.8%
  13. 21Breast cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.0%
  14. 22Pregnancy & childbirth1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  15. 23Uterine & ovarian cancer1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  16. 24Accidental poisoning & overdose1.1%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.17%
  17. 25Diabetes0.91%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  18. 26Colorectal cancer0.63%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  19. 27COPD & chronic lung disease0.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  20. 28Drug use disorder0.55%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.01%
  21. 29Drowning0.48%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.04%
  22. 30Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.48%
  23. 31Alcohol use disorder0.35%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.14%
  24. 32Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.31%
  25. 33Stomach cancer0.32%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.46%
  26. 34Kidney cancer0.28%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.35%
  27. 35Heart attack & coronary heart disease0.26%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 4.2%
  28. 36Kidney disease0.25%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.8%
  29. 37Lung cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.0%
  30. 38Cervical cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.21%
  31. 39Liver cancer0.23%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  32. 40COVID-190.21%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.6%
  33. 41Melanoma (skin cancer)0.20%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.24%
  34. 42Pancreatic cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.1%
  35. 43Oesophageal cancer0.06%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.27%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 3114, the national suicide prevention line — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 17-year-old girl in France, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for France (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

— send it to someone you love.

Full page with comparisons: women aged 15–19 in France

How long people like this live: life expectancy.