Odainn

What are men aged 25–29 in the Netherlands most likely to die from?

For a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands, the most likely causes of death over the next 10 years are suicide, road accidents and other neurological disease — together 46% of the risk. The chance of dying in the next 12 months is 0.05% (1 in 2,207); over 10 years it is 0.58%.

Next 12 months
0.05%
1 in 2,207
Next 10 years
0.58%
1 in 172
Life expectancy
81
about 54 more years on average
The surpriseAt 27, the top risk in the next 10 years isn't aging — it's suicide.
Most likely causes

Share of all deaths in the next 10 years.

  1. 01Suicide31%
    0.18% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.1%
  2. 02Road accidents8.9%
    0.05% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  3. 03Other neurological disease (e.g. epilepsy)6.7%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  4. 04Accidental poisoning & overdose6.5%
    0.04% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.18%
  5. 05Other cancers4.3%
    0.03% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.6%
  6. 06Other digestive disease2.9%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.7%
  7. 07Heart failure & other heart disease2.8%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 10%
  8. 08Brain cancer2.6%
    0.02% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  9. 09Stroke2.5%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.5%
  10. 10Other causes2.3%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.1%
Show the other 28 causes30% together
  1. 11Other mental health conditions2.2%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.33%
  2. 12Other accidents2.1%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.0%
  3. 13Drowning1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.08%
  4. 14Homicide1.8%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%
  5. 15Leukaemia & lymphoma1.7%
    0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  6. 16Falls1.7%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.5%
  7. 17Liver disease (incl. alcohol-related)1.6%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.59%
  8. 18Diabetes1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.9%
  9. 19Alcohol use disorder1.4%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.45%
  10. 20Colorectal cancer1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.8%
  11. 21Infections (e.g. sepsis, hepatitis, HIV)1.3%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.4%
  12. 22Heart attack & coronary heart disease1.2%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 6.5%
  13. 23Other injuries (incl. undetermined intent)1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  14. 24Lung cancer1.0%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 5.9%
  15. 25Melanoma (skin cancer)0.99%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.53%
  16. 26Congenital conditions0.88%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.15%
  17. 27Pneumonia & flu0.86%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  18. 28Drug use disorder0.83%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.07%
  19. 29Stomach cancer0.81%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.80%
  20. 30Liver cancer0.76%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.83%
  21. 31Other lung disease0.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  22. 32COVID-190.61%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 2.5%
  23. 33High blood pressure & other circulatory disease0.59%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 3.6%
  24. 34Pancreatic cancer0.49%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.7%
  25. 35Mouth, throat & larynx cancer0.36%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.64%
  26. 36Kidney disease0.33%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  27. 37Oesophageal cancer0.29%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 1.6%
  28. 38Breast cancer0.07%
    <0.01% chance over 10 years · lifetime 0.05%

Some of these risks are about mental health and substances. They are among the most preventable — if you or someone you love is struggling, call 113, 113 Zelfmoordpreventie — free and confidential, any time (or findahelpline.com).

For people like a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands, not a personal prediction. Based on official mortality data for the Netherlands (2023), Eurostat. Personal risk also depends on health and habits.

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What to do about it

Check-ups recommended for a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands

If a parent, brother, sister or child had:

Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines. Your doctor may suggest more, or sooner, depending on your health. Educational, not medical advice.

Compared with

Same age in other countries

Questions

What is the most common cause of death for men aged 25–29 in the Netherlands?
Suicide: 31% of the risk of dying over the next 10 years for a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands, followed by road accidents and other neurological disease.
What is the chance that a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands dies in the next year?
0.05% (1 in 2,207). Over the next 10 years it is 0.58% (1 in 172).
How long can a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands expect to live?
On average, to about 81 — around 54 more years, based on the Netherlands' current death rates.
Which check-ups are recommended for a 27-year-old man in the Netherlands?
Blood pressure check. Based on the RIVM population screening programmes and European guidelines.
Can these risks be lowered?
Many of them, yes. Smoking, alcohol, activity and weight change these numbers a lot, and screening finds several cancers early. Odainn's personal numbers adjust the statistics for your own habits and rank the changes that give you the most years back. This is educational information, not medical advice.

Computed by Odainn from official Eurostat mortality statistics for the Netherlands (2023) — how we calculate. Educational, not medical advice.